Warren Central
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #100
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #31
Rushville Regional Rank #6
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Arabian Roundup Brownsburg Invitational CougarPalooza Invitational Ben Davis Invitational RH Flashrock Invite Metro Interscholastic Conf. Marion County Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/26 9/5 9/8 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24
Team Rating 873 1,005 922 1,000 876 943 855 773 816 903
Team Adjusted Rating 1,005 825 1,000 876 943 855 773 816 903
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Arabian Roundup Brownsburg Invitational CougarPalooza Invitational Ben Davis Invitational RH Flashrock Invite Metro Interscholastic Conf. Marion County Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
384  Sierra Espinoza 10 20:59 21:30 21:09 21:39 20:33 21:18 21:20 20:36 21:06 21:20 20:44
587  Savah Garnette 11 21:34 21:43 21:48 21:39 21:39 21:40 21:12 21:07 21:33 21:54
813  Brianna Wilkerson 11 22:08 23:19 22:07 22:54 22:26 22:11 21:51 21:46 21:55 22:03
1,030  Issy Goolsby 11 22:39 23:19 22:27 23:17 22:36 23:16 22:13 22:28 22:13 23:04
1,212  Makayla Coburn 11 23:00 23:02 22:17 22:50 23:09 23:04 23:13 22:41 24:05 22:51
1,380  Leslie Romero 10 23:23 22:59 23:10 23:09 23:29 23:58
1,407  Jacqueline Hartman 9 23:27 25:08 23:52 23:39 23:39 22:47 23:01 23:14
Alexis Napper 10 23:30 24:12 23:50 23:59 23:49 24:00 23:16 23:22 23:46 23:06
Skye Romero 11 23:39 24:22 23:56 23:20 24:09 22:58
Vianney Gonzalez 11 24:44 24:20 24:30 24:44 25:01




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 5.4 147 0.0 14.5 29.5 55.9
Sectionals 100% 5.0 145 0.0 22.5 58.6 18.6 0.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sierra Espinoza 98.3% 110.0 98.3% 98.3%
Savah Garnette 45.1% 135.9 45.1% 45.1%
Brianna Wilkerson 0.9% 152.7 0.9% 0.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sierra Espinoza 100% 17.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.0 2.5 4.0 5.6 7.4 9.4 11.6 11.8 11.1 8.2 6.3 4.4 3.4 3.1 2.1 100.0%
Savah Garnette 100% 28.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.7 2.5 3.3 3.7 4.5 4.8 5.2 100.0%
Brianna Wilkerson 100% 39.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 100.0%
Issy Goolsby 100% 49.3 97.6%
Makayla Coburn 100% 55.8 82.4%
Jacqueline Hartman 100% 61.0 35.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sierra Espinoza 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.5 4.5 9.3 13.9 20.3 16.6 9.8 6.8 5.0 3.3 2.4 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2
Savah Garnette 22.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.4 4.2 4.8 5.6 6.7 6.8 7.2 7.7 8.0 8.3 8.0
Brianna Wilkerson 30.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.8
Issy Goolsby 36.6 0.0 0.0
Makayla Coburn 39.5
Jacqueline Hartman 43.1